15/08/2019. Wolverhampton - Pyunik (UEFA Europe League). Preview + forecast. Cards

Today, the Corner-stats.com team drew attention to the return match of Europa League qualification between the English Wolves and the Armenian Pyunik. Wolves confidently won the first away match with a score of 4:0, so most likely the return match will have the status of a friendly.

Based on this, we were surprised by the line on cards in this match, namely, the rather large total cards in the bookmaker Bet365 - 4.5 on an equal line.

What does statistics say about this:

  - the team’s only H2H match was played a week ago with a score of 0:2 on cards

  - in 2 matches of Wolverhampton with teams similar in strength to Pyunik, the average total of cards was 1.5 (2 matches with 2 with a total cards under 4.5);

  - in 6 matches of Pyunik with teams similar in strength to Wolves, the average total cards was 3.83 (4 matches with 6 with total cards under 4.5).

The referee of the match Dunkert (Germany) rarely judges international matches, so we will analyze his statistics in national tournaments. So, in the current and previous seasons, Dunkert played 9 matches in the Bundesliga2 with an average total of cards of 4.00, which is less than the average in the league (4.48), as well as 13 matches in the Bundesliga1 with an average total of cards of 4.15, which is slightly more than the average in the league (3.67). That is, we have a moderate referee from Germany, whose average total cards does not reach 4.5, even in uncompromising matches of the German Bundesleagues. And we see no reason for Dunkert to show more cards in our match, in which everything is almost decided.

So, the forecast of the Corner-stats.com team is the total cards (1+2) under 4.5 at odds 1.90 in Bet365.